Raw Data

The eligibility criteria for the analysis is minimum 100 pass attempts for QB, minimum 50 rush attempts for RB, minimum 35 targets for WR and minimum 25 targets for TE. There are 40 QB, 66 RB, 101 WR and 45 TE passed these thresholds. The distribution of fantasy points with standard scoring for eligible QBs is given in the following plot.

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Similar to fantasy points of eligible QBs, the distributions of the fantasy points of eligible RBs and WRs are also plotted. RB and WR points are calculated with half PPR scoring. QBs have generally have the highest fantasy points and the mean value of the eligible RBs and WRs are around the same value. Since the sample sizes are quite different, it is not preferable to make interpretations based on raw data or just with an eligibility based on volume.

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Instead of creating a sample set based on volume, only top 12 QB, top 24 RB and top 36 WR are selected in sample set due to regular fantasy squad composition. This set shows the distribution of starters in your fantasy team.

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Even comparing top 24 QB with top 24 RB shows that the QB position has more points.

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Alternative scoring suggestions for QB

The QB position with current scoring method is strongly predictable and the discrepancy between high quality players and average players will not vary enough. In my personal opinion, QB position should have differ from all the other positions in terms of passing statistics and more specifically passing TDs. Therefore, it may be better to increase the passing TD points to 6. However, just increasing the fantasy points to 6 can change the landscape of the game. It will definitely increase the importance of the QB position but also make the success rate of a team relying too much upon the performance of the QB. It could be fruitful to design a new scoring scheme.

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Obviously, increasing the passing TD point from 4 to 6 increases the variability between top 24 QBs. However, QB position is way stronger compared to all the other positions.

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Even though the distribution among top 24 QB increased significantly, the importance of all the other positions are reduced significantly. An alternative method could be increasing the points lost for interceptions from 2 to 4.

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Increasing the interception score has not have a major effect over the distribution of the scores. However, it definitely decreased the total points earned by QBs. The comparison with the other positions are given below:

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Instead of increasing the point loss for INT, another possibility is to reduce the points that is coming from passing yards. Many teams have light defenses between 20s and the red zone offense is way less productive. Therefore, changing the per yard point to 0.025 instead 0.04 may fix the problem while keeping the distribution wider.

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Even though the mean value stayed the same, the distribution is slightly become wider. If we look at all the eligible QBs the separation is increased a little bit more.

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Without increasing the importance of a single position, the separation between QBs is increased.

Problems with TE position

TE is one of the problematic positions in game because only a handful of players have good stats over the season and many of the other players are in TD or bust category.

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Only top 5 TE has really high numbers and rest of the TEs are clumped together and that will make position much more important due to value over replacement. A group of secondary TEs are not supposed to be startable fantasy players. Due to scarcity of the position average players are getting overprices. If TE and WR is mixed togerher following distribution will be obtained.

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Adding TE's and WR's together made spectrum continous. If we take top 12 TEs and top 36 WRs the following plot is obtained.

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The top 5 TE is mixed in other WRs, however the rest of the seven of them lower then even 36th TE. Strategically, it may be possible to get top 5 TE early to have an advantage but still the position is extra scarce. Therefore, it may be better to mix it with WR position.